Articles & Reports
How to avoid another Rana Plaza
How to avoid another Rana Plaza
What: BoF unpacks the Bangladesh Accord, a legally binding agreement signed by fashion brands and trade unions after the Rana Plaza factory collapse in Bangladesh in 2013, which aimed to address dangerous factory conditions and improve workers' rights.
Why it is important: Retailers are facing increased pressure from regulators, consumers, and investors to improve labour conditions in their supply chains, particularly since the pandemic has led to worsening risks of modern slavery and wage theft.
The Bangladesh Accord is considered the most effective safety campaign in the modern garment industry and provides important lessons for the industry to address labour abuses, although challenges remain as brands face pressure to improve labour conditions. The Accord required independent inspections, transparent reporting, financial commitments to support improvements, and collective action from brands to address dangerous factory conditions.
Despite the Accord’s efforts and adoption, labor standards across the industry have remained poor. The International Accord for Health and Safety in the Textile and Garment Industry aims to extend the accord beyond Bangladesh to other countries but faces challenges from brands who view it as a legal risk and prefer self-regulated monitoring.
While the Accord transformed safety levels in the factories it covered, labor standards across the industry have otherwise lagged. The Accord's supporters say it offers an effective framework to help monitor and improve conditions, and its accountability, transparency and collaborative nature are what set it apart from the status quo. However, keeping the Accord's legally binding framework alive has been challenging, as it faced opposition from Bangladesh's government, factory owners, and even large companies that prefer their own programs or commitments that don't come with the same binding requirements. Despite these challenges, the International Accord for Health and Safety in the Textile and Garment Industry aims to expand the model to other garment-producing countries.
The accountability, transparency, and collaborative nature of the Accord have been crucial to its success, and it offers important lessons for the industry to safeguard workers' rights in their supply chains. Therefore, applying the same model of the Accord to address other labor-related issues beyond safety, such as wages and the right to organize, can lead to similar progress.
Retail is, by essence, local
Retail is, by essence, local
What: Catering to the needs of your local customer is the essence of retail.
Why it is important: Tourists are to be considered as the cherry on the cake but the past 3 years showed that they should not be considered as the engine of the department stores’ business.
Kohl's plans to open 250 additional Sephora at Kohl's locations in 2023, reaching a total of 850 stores and covering nearly 80% of Kohl's footprint.
The 2,500 sq. ft. shops have Sephora-trained beauty advisors and provide a customer experience similar to standalone Sephora stores. Such a partnership benefits both companies, with Kohl's reporting eight million customers buying Sephora products in 2022, and Sephora gaining access to new customers.
The collaboration follows a portfolio approach, adapting to local communities and their specific needs. A portfolio strategy involves analyzing local markets and tailoring stores to the community, ensuring they don't cannibalize each other's sales. The Sephora at Kohl's expansion is a testament to the success of this approach, according to Forbes.
How generative AI could change creative work
How generative AI could change creative work
What: The HBR reviews how Artificial Intelligence could disrupt creative jobs and how to adapt.
Why it is important: Department stores will also be affected in many ways, from designing their own private labels, to their marketing campaigns and other customer-facing actions. For that reason they should adapt in order to gain precious productivity points as soon as possible.
The creator economy, valued at $14 billion, allows independent creators to connect directly with audiences and monetize their work through digital channels like Substack, Flipboard, and Steemit. However, generative AI applications like ChatGPT and Midjourney may significantly alter creative work. Three possible scenarios are proposed:
1- An explosion of AI-assisted innovation: AI supports human creativity, enabling faster and more efficient work, leading to rapid iteration and more people engaging in creative endeavors.
2- Machines monopolize creativity: Algorithmic competition crowds out human creativity, causing a decline in authentic human content and innovation. Personalization of content may lead to loss of shared experiences and increased filter bubbles.
3- "Human-made" commands a premium: Authentic human creativity is valued more as people may be willing to pay a premium for it. Human creativity retains a competitive advantage due to social and cultural context awareness.
To prepare for generative AI, businesses should brace for disruption, invest in structuring their knowledge, and get comfortable working with AI. Finding the right balance between AI and human creativity will be an important challenge for businesses and society.
Asynchronous work can fuel creativity
Asynchronous work can fuel creativity
What: HBR argues that asynchronous work fuels creativity by allowing underrepresented voices to express themselves.
Why it is important: Such an approach to work is common among the younger generation, and employers need to adapt their productivity levels by making the most of these new methods, and not just undergo them.
The article discusses research conducted by Aruna Ranganathan, which analyzes the impact of asynchronous work on creativity.
The study found that asynchronous work allows underrepresented voices, particularly women, to express themselves without fear of being criticized or interrupted and can lead to better creative performance. While synchronous teamwork may decrease coordination costs, it also inhibits the expression of new or risky ideas, ultimately making teams less equal and their output less creative.
The study's findings show that asynchronous restructuring of at least some tasks is an effective and feasible solution to inequality in creative teams, as it enables greater creative freedom and provides a way forward to a more equitable future of work.
5 key trends to keep from Shoptalk
5 key trends to keep from Shoptalk
What: Coresight lists the key learnings from Shoptalk, an IADS partner.
Why it is important: Organizational change is probably the most interesting topic, as it is a direct consequence of all the other changes, and the topic of the 2023 Academy program.
Each year, Shoptalk unites leading brands, retailers, technology companies, investors and more to explore the evolving retail landscape and pave the way for next-generation retail. Coresight believes that brands and retailers globally would benefit from pursuing initiatives across the five identified evolving themes identified at Shoptalk, continuously innovating their organizations and operations to adjust to the shifting retail landscape and provide shoppers with the best retail experience possible, and which are:
• Technology: Artificial intelligence (AI) and Web3 were hot topics of conversation at Shoptalk 2023, including their impact on supply chains and store and customer experiences. Coresight Research presented on the importance of intelligent, connected supply chains that utilize Web3.
• Store experience: Empowering store associates and experimenting with new store formats are key to delivering great store experiences in the post-pandemic world.
• Shopper engagement: To better engage with consumers throughout the shopping journey—and even after they complete their purchase—retailers should employ personalization strategies and tap opportunities in the video format, including short-form, long-form and livestream content.
• Emerging channels: While there are many emerging channels retailers should keep an eye on, social media and secondhand markets are among the top emerging channels in the US. Moving forward, companies will need multichannel strategies to meet consumers wherever they are.
• Organizational changes: These abound in the current retail landscape, as reimagined partnerships drive cultural relevance and companies look to hire top tech talent and increase organizational productivity.
How to sell on TikTok
How to sell on TikTok
What: Coresight reviews how Tik Tok works for brands, retailers and resellers now that Tik Tok Shop is open.
Why it is important: While business cases are still scarce, this might change very quickly in the future.
TikTok Shop, the e-commerce arm of TikTok, launched six months ago in the US, following the success of its sister app Douyin, which generated $208 billion in sales in 2022. Tik Tok Shop allows to make purchases directly in the app, and not through a third-party interface.
TikTok Shop allows brands, merchants, and creators to sell products directly through in-feed videos, livestreams, and Product Showcase features. An exclusive feature, the Affiliate Marketplace, connects sellers with creators to share products and earn commissions.
Though major brands like Revolve are experimenting with TikTok Shop, widespread adoption is yet to occur, potentially due to US consumers' preference for using social media for discovery and research rather than direct shopping.
However, with nearly half of the US population on TikTok and the success of similar platforms like Amazon Storefronts, TikTok Shop's seamless and frictionless experience may boost direct shopping adoption in the future.
Resetting the store strategy
Resetting the store strategy
What: A US-based contribution to how physical retail is here to stay.
Why it is important: Although the view is very US-centric, most of the points mentioned (which are not new) apply to most retailers in the world and make it clear that stores still have a future even with online businesses growing.
The article emphasizes the continued importance of physical stores in the retail industry despite the rise of online commerce during the pandemic. According to the contributor, retailers should reset their store strategies to capitalize on growth opportunities. Key points include:
1- Being strategic about store locations by leveraging data on foot traffic, sales, and customer demographics.
2- Focusing on strip centres and freestanding small-format stores rather than underperforming shopping malls.
3- Using data analytics to tailor store layouts, services, pricing, and product assortments to local catchment areas.
4- Reinventing stores as multipurpose destinations, offering experiences alongside shopping, and integrating online and offline channels for seamless customer experiences.
5- Recognizing the role of physical stores in legitimizing brands and building relationships with customers.
6- Gaining insights into local preferences and purchase patterns from stores to inform various aspects of the business.
7- Investing in retail workforce to ensure they are skilled and motivated, and providing platforms and applications for better employee connectivity and customer experiences.
Physical stores remain critical in the retail industry, and reinventing them to adapt to changing consumer behaviours will be essential for future growth.
The true cost of apparel returns in the US
The true cost of apparel returns in the US
What: 24,4% of e-commerce purchases are returned in the US, translating into $38bn in returns and $25,1bn in processing costs.
Why it is important: E-commerce capabilities are a necessity for department stores as a part of their omnichannel capabilities and offerings to customers. However, the financial structure of this business, often loss-making due to logistical costs, often impacts the bottom line, pushing retailers to paradoxically limit the size of their e-commerce business.
The US online apparel and footwear market faces a high return rate of 24.4%, translating to $38 billion in returns and $25.1 billion in processing costs in 2023. Offline-based apparel companies experience even higher return rates, impacting their bottom line significantly.
The primary reasons for online apparel returns are size/fit, colour, and damage. To reduce returns, 85% of apparel brands and retailers are using or planning to implement virtual try-on tools, which can also boost sales. Among those already using size-recommender tools, 80% report increased conversion.
The growth of e-commerce has negatively affected return rates, as customers face challenges in visualizing products accurately. Technologies like 3D body scanning can help address sizing issues, and as these tools improve, they can provide personalized customer service both in-store and online, potentially changing the US apparel market landscape.
The evolution of leisure spending
The evolution of leisure spending
What: Customers have less time for leisure, but are willing to spend more to make the most of it.
Why it is important: Department stores are all about experience and disposable income. If they are able to provide the most compelling experiences, they would be able to get the lion’s share of the budget dedicated to leisure.
The labor-leisure trade-off concept in economic theory suggests an optimal balance between work and leisure for each individual. Despite increased productivity over the past 50 years, leisure time hasn't grown correspondingly across OECD countries. Germans spend 23% of their time on leisure activities, while Mexicans spend only 12%, with TV-watching being the most popular leisure activity.
Interestingly, the decline in leisure time seems to have led to increased leisure spending. In the U.S., leisure time dropped by 48 minutes per day from the 1990s to the 2010s, but leisure spending as a share of total consumer spending has risen since 2013, growing from 9.5% to 13% by 2022.
IADS Exclusive: The latest edition of the IADS 100: dynamics in the department store world from 2019 to 2021
IADS Exclusive: The latest edition of the IADS 100: dynamics in the department store world from 2019 to 2021
Retailers do not need to be reminded that disruption in the space has been numerous with up-and-coming tech (Web3 and AI), figuring out the “new normal” following a global pandemic, a war in Europe, as well as inflation. These are only a few of the things that have impacted retail businesses between 2020 and 2022.
The role of the IADS as an expert platform dedicated to the department store world is to be able to step away from the immediacy and the constant stream of news and be able to analyse the situation based on actual and reliable numbers.
This is the reason why the IADS launched the first edition of its exclusive Department Store global observatory, the IADS 100, in May 2021. This list, capturing data from a number of department store companies around the world, is intended to track the changes in the retail format and see how players in various markets are able to adapt to challenges and change. It is exclusively based on first-party information that the IADS sources itself.
In the latest rendition of the IADS 100 monitor gathering 2021 fiscal year figures, it has been clear that compiling comparable information across markets has proven to be more and more difficult. Many retailers are forecasting against ‘normal’ times and looking to beat 2019 figures rather than 2020 results. This is fair as department stores were forced to operate in limited ways or not at all for long periods of time, therefore typical KPIs from 2020 are no longer reliable when moving the business back to ‘usual’ times.
What is hard about referring to 2019 figures rather than 2020 data is that there might not be a ‘business as usual’ reference to compare to anymore. It seems as if retailers are having to constantly adapt, therefore year over year comparisons need to be deeply analysed to be fully understood.
This report will attempt to understand some of these major changes across global retail markets. In order to make comparisons year over year, all exchange rates to Euros come from March 22, 2021, which was the date chosen during the initial IADS 100 release.
2021: retailers are not out of the woods yet
Before breaking into the numbers, it is important to first look at what happened in retail between the years 2020 and 2021 as a reminder of the times that these department stores are operating. 2021 started as a year of hope and recovery, but many could not imagine the impact that the global pandemic left on the world.
In March of 2021, the Suez Canal was blocked for 6 days, disrupting the global supply chain that was already weak due to Covid impacts. If the shutdown of factories was not enough to showcase the risks for retailers to operate with a global supply chain, this 6-day disruption brought even more awareness of the impact of having reliable and locally sourced products. The shipping delays caused by the Suez Canal block and from Covid interruptions led to a number of fully packed shipping cargo being stranded in ports. By the time some products arrived, they were out of season and no longer relevant, leading to too much inventory and major markdowns at the end of the year.
These supply chain disruptions also heightened the awareness of consumers as to where their products actually come from. They started to ask more questions about where brands are sourcing their goods, how the products are made, the impact supply chains have on the environment, and what the ‘made in’ label actually means. This even led to sanctions imposed by western countries on Chinese goods as a response to the alleged use of forced labour in Xinjiang, China.
The year 2021 also saw the re-emergence of social interactions with the release of the Covid vaccine. After being locked up at home during the pandemic and shifting to a more permanent work-from-home scheme, consumers started valuing personal interactions more, and their expectations for how retailers can entertain them are higher. Shoppers are looking for personalised and experiential shopping which has shifted the role of the physical store, meaning department stores need to make the most of their square footage and prime locations to capture the interest of consumers.
Working from home also changed what products consumers needed to buy. There was an increased need for home office furniture and technology and a reduced demand for work attire and formal wear. In fashion, loungewear took over sales from suites and dresses as formal celebrations like weddings and holiday parties were pushed or completely cancelled.
Understanding that selling to consumers where they are also grew in importance, especially when it came to reaching Gen Z customers. Retailers needed to successfully add social media platforms to their omnichannel strategy. Keeping up with the latest technology to stay relevant in the eyes of young shoppers is neither easy to implement nor cheap. New platforms beyond TikTok and Instagram started to emerge, and retailers realized the importance of fully understanding how to achieve sales across such channels.
Was 2021 a year of false hopes for retailers? What the final numbers tell us
Asia: struggles to bounce back due to waves of lockdowns
Asian department stores continued to be up against strict lockdowns and Covid measures in 2021, especially seen in China and Hong Kong. In China, BHG, Wangfujing, Rainbow, Parkson Retail Group, Maoye, and New World all saw a slightly positive sales trend in 2021 compared to 2020 as stores began to occasionally reopen and citizens were allowed to leave their homes. Travel has been heavily restricted, therefore Asian tourists that typically buy luxury goods in Europe have been forced to use this money at home rather than abroad. Despite the redirection of funds to local stores, Chinese department stores such as Wuhan and Golden Eagle continued to report losses in 2021 versus 2020. And in Hong Kong, Lifestyle Sogo reported positive turnover while Wing On saw losses.
Japanese department stores also saw a range of results with Takashimaya, Daimaru Matsuzakaya, H2O, Marui reporting relatively strong positive turnover between 2020 and 2021, while Isetan Mitsukoshi, Tokyu, and Tobu reported losses. Sogo Seibu in Japan reported a major loss from 2019 to 2020, but rebounds have yet to be reported as figures for 2021 are not available yet. It is important to note that Japan was closed to foreign tourists for two and a half years due to the global pandemic, thus the reopening in 2022 is sure to help sales figures for retailers in the coming year. This will be for sure a much-needed breath of air in the market, as all Japanese department stores reported lower sales in 2021 compared to 2019, including Tobu, where sales halved, and Isetan Mitsukoshi, which lost 66% compared to the 2019 sales level.
The rest of Asia saw a variety of results. In India, Lifestyle Landmark Group and Shopper’s Stop reported positive earnings. Matahari in Indonesia reported a slight increase in turnover, which was the same case for SM in the Philippines and Hanwha Galleria in Korea. Finally, Odel in Sri Lanka reported a loss of turnover from 2020 to 2021. The whole region was affected by relatively severe lockdowns, which explains why no retailers from this group were able to recuperate the 2019 sales levels, despite the stimulus checks granted by some governments.
With the goal being to outperform 2019 numbers, the only department stores in Asia that reported higher sales in 2021 than in 2019 are BHG, Wuhan, and Golden Eagle, all of which operate in China. BHG in particular grew an astounding +62% vs 2019, thanks to its exceptional positioning in the country when it comes to luxury brands and experiences. Such a performance allowed the Beijing location to secure the title of the most profitable department store in the world, which Harrods lost in 2020.
This indicates that department stores in Asia still have quite a journey to make to return to usual operating times and they might be heavily dependent on the reopening of Chinese borders, that was decided early 2023.
Europe: mostly a recovery story
The year 2021 was seen as a time to get back on track for European department stores. In the UK, John Lewis, Marks & Spencer, Selfridges, Harrods, Fenwick and Liberty all saw positive, but almost flat, results compared to 2020 figures. While Fortnum & Mason was not as fortunate and saw a continued downward trend in their sales figures. Harvey Nichols has not shared 2021 figures, but the department store shows the same 2019 to 2020 trend of a -67% drop in sales during the 2020 fiscal year.
Other European players such as Kaubamaja from Estonia, Stockmann from Finland, El Cortes Inglés from Spain, Ahlens and NK from Sweden, and Coop and Jelmoli from Switzerland showed positive but almost flat sales results from 2020 to 2021 that prove the road to recovery will not happen overnight. Europe is not only recovering from the direct impacts of Covid but also have new challenges which will make the bounce back even more challenging. This will be discussed further in the section below dissecting what is to be expected from 2022 results and beyond.
Only Marks & Spencer, Coop Group, John Lewis, and NK beat 2019 ‘normal time’ KPIs in 2021, making a swift recovery from the 2020 decline. The remaining European department stores will be looking to close the gap in the coming years with many barely missing the mark.
Interestingly, in the 4 department stores that increased their sales in 2021 compared to 2019, 3 of them (Marks & Spencer, Coop Group and John Lewis) include large food sections and a strategy based on prices, which explains their resilience in tough times thanks to their proximity with their customers (El Corte Inglés also belongs to this typology, however, the business in the company is also very much based on touristic flows, especially in Madrid, Barcelona and the Balearic islands).
NK is an anomaly as a luxury department store (hence also very much dependant on tourism), which is explained by the fact that it changed the nature of its business between 2019 and 2021. In 2021 NK bought the Departments Stores Europe AB company, a brand importer, and started de facto to purchase and manage product flows, while prior to this acquisition NK was only managing the real estate space within its department store.
Finally, the variable gap between 2019 and 2021 sales for the companies who did not pass also gives an idea of their sensitivity to tourism. For instance, in the UK, Selfridges and Harrods are much more dependent on tourism than Fortnum & Mason, which explains why returning to normal is harder for the two former companies.
Americas: 2021 sees positive growth
Department stores in the Americas (the sampling including United States, Mexico, and Chile) all saw positive sales trends between 2020 and 2021. In the United States, Macy’s, Kohl’s, Nordstrom, Dillard’s, and Neiman Marcus all saw a strong recovery in 2021 sales figures. While the United States was also hit by the global pandemic, stores did not shut down as drastically in the US as in other parts of the world such as Europe or Asia. US retailers were also able to reap the benefits of numerous stimulus checks granted to US citizens in 2020 and 2021 that boosted the economy.
In Latin America, positive sales trends were also noted from El Palacio de Hierro and Liverpool in Mexico, and Falabella, Ripley, and Cencosud in Chile. These countries have not only faced the pandemic but also lived through drastic political changes in government leaders that have shifted right winged regulations to more left policies since 2018. These changes might prove to bring more challenges in the upcoming years.
Compared to 2019 figures, most US department stores neared the 2019 target but slightly fell short except for Dillard’s and Neiman Marcus which reported figures just over 2019 figures. In Chile and Mexico all department stores in the sample outperformed 2019 turnover. This shows that at the end of 2021, the Americas retail markets were showing strong signs of recovery from the pandemic, but this might not be enough to get them through the next set of challenges that 2022 is to bring.
What to expect from the 2022 fiscal year and beyond
While fiscal results for 2022 are still being calculated and modelled, we can already predict what the data might reveal. While most of the world is rebounding from the global pandemic, China and parts of Asia are facing waves of lockdowns that have impacted travel and store operations. Beijing was also the host of the 2022 Winter Olympics which typically welcomes international travellers and is a major economy booster, but the event was strictly limited to citizens living in China to avoid any further spread of the Covid virus.
Chinese consumers being stuck in Asia has also impacted European department stores, especially the French ones that dedicate a lot of resources to selling to Chinese tourists. These department stores have had to shift to appeal to locals and US tourists to try to get their sales figures back on track. But with restrictions starting to lift for Chinese tourists, Europe could record a major bounce back in 2023 sales reflecting the return of these prized consumers. Across the English Channel, the UK faced the death of Queen Elizabeth in 2022 which closed shops for a short period of time and the country is dealing with an unstable government representative and heavy criticism of the leadership.
Another major headline in Europe in 2022 has been the war incited by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. As countries and businesses show their support for Ukraine, many retailers had to pull their operations out of Russia, including department stores which were previously selling their private labels on the market, for instance. Russia and Ukraine are also both heavy exporters of goods that have impacted the global supply chain and created scarcities in a wide array of goods and increased the price of goods worldwide. Energy scarcities have led to a crisis that has heavily impacted the overhead costs of retail operations.
Between the Covid recovery and the war, the increase in the price of goods has led to painful inflation. Governments are now weary to respond with raised interest rates for fear of causing a recession. If a recession is in fact in the near future for 2023, this will greatly impact sales figures for retailers as consumers will stop spending on unnecessary goods and products.
Finally, regulations surrounding climate change and sustainability are starting to become more concrete with mandatory steps that are needed to be taken by brands and retailers. At the beginning of 2023 regulations will be enforced by Europe and the US that will heavily disrupt how they operate and communicate with consumers. But with the threat of inflation and a recession, it will be interesting to see if such sustainability issues will still be prioritized as profits and recovery take precedence in the eyes of governments and business leaders.
The ultimate test for department stores is not merely to encounter these disruptors, but to be able to make it out on the other side and learn lessons along the way. The unknown challenges that retailers face year after year are never black-and-white topics and each market has its own unique set of hurdles in their own time. Facing these obstacles alone is the greatest challenge, but difficult times can be eased by understanding how similar business cases have been dealt with by department store partners around the world. Exchange associations such as the IADS give global retail leaders an opportunity to ask hard questions when facing difficulty and share the lessons of their triumphs.
<u>IADS Note*</u>
While department store diversity can be a strength, it also makes comparisons difficult. It is clear, for example, that data concerning revenue, profits, selling space etc. will often not be available from privately held companies. If the IADS obtains such data privately and confidentially, we will not publish it.*
Read the financials from 2020 and 2021 here:
2020 and 2021 FINANCIAL RESULTS
Credits: IADS (Mary Jane Shea)
IADS Exclusive: Sucharita Kodali: How can retailers successfully address conscious customers?
IADS Exclusive: Sucharita Kodali: How can retailers successfully address conscious customers?
Sucharita Kodali is the Vice President and Principal Analyst at Forrester Research, where she addresses e-commerce, omnichannel, and consumer behaviour topics. She is also an authority on technology developments that affect the online commerce industry and vendors that facilitate online marketing and merchandising and authored “The World’s Most Future-Proofed Brands” report, which reviews global consumer-facing brand manufacturers.
At IADS, we know that sustainability is increasingly a burning topic for retailers, and this is not expected to change in 2023. As we demonstrated in our latest White Paper on the topic, “Reinventing department stores through sustainability”, the pressure grows and comes from all stakeholders. Customers might not be the only ones asking for more action in this field. In addition, retailers who already started their journey also realized that with actions came more complexity, as there is for now no charted path. This is the reason why the IADS asked Sucharita Kodali, who boasts experience in the department store retail format, to talk to the IADS CEOs earlier in 2023. This IADS Exclusive is an excerpt from this talk.
The rise of the conscious customer
Like it or not, the rise of a new conscious customer over the past decades was inevitable. Starting in 2000, when China joined the WTO, the cost of manufacturing soft goods considerably decreased, allowing the category to literally explode: in the fashion category for instance, prices deflated, allowing customers to buy more products, and generating a never-ending hunger for new garments (with the United States losing their predominant position as a clothing manufacturer along the way).
The rise of e-commerce fueled this hunger even more, as it brought the convenience of being able to order products from the living room, and customers became avid.
It took some time for everyone to realize the environmental cost of shipping products from a given warehouse instead of purchasing them at the store, and, when becoming aware, customers started to ask brands and retailers to steer towards more sustainable practices.
Tackling sustainability: three sides to the story
However, the topic became complicated fast, as sustainability, at least in the US, quickly included a social dimension (employees’ health, fair wages…) as well as a backlash against the negative externalities of businesses (including, for instance, privacy management or data confidentiality).
Kodali suggested considering the notion of sustainability according to three angles.
The first one is to acknowledge that customers have radically changed.
In a study conducted by Forrester, 4 segments reflecting customers’ shift towards more “consciousness” were identified.

The identified profiles are the following:
- “Non-greens” (14% of the respondents), for whom environment comes second and who are not looking for green products,
- “Dormant greens” (36%), who might be looking for green products and who are unsure if the environment comes second or first,
- “Convenient greens” (26%), for whom the environment comes second but who are actively looking for green products,
- “Active greens” (24%), for whom the environment comes first, and who are actively looking for green products.
All in all, this segmentation shows that at least half of the consumers (convenient greens and active greens) are now receptive to finding ways to make their consumption greener.
This implies new attitudes toward recycling (38% of positive answers), opting for higher quality (26%), and purchasing second-hand (21%), which in turn suggests that customers will, at some stage, reduce their overall consumption, which will require retailers to adapt.
The second angle to consider is regulation.
Many countries are eyeing (and for some, voting or enforcing) new laws which can either encourage new behaviours, through tax incentives or, more frequently, be restraining. Kodali believes for instance that surcharges on packaged deliveries are coming, as well as extended producer responsibility (i.e. surcharges allowing to address the product afterlife and finance its recycling or destruction, as South Africa decided at a national level).
This raises new questions (How to finance it? as a levy on the final price point? a tax on the manufacturer? or on the retailer?) which will anyways impact retailers. This is a norm in electronics across the planet now, and highly probable that soft goods will follow suit soon.
The third angle is to understand that sustainability is not only for consumers.
Investors are now also fully utilizing CSR and ESG tools and KPIs in their decision-making process, even though there are still some disparities at the global level due to uneven regulation (42% of European investors are required to invest in socially responsible products, vs. 15% in North America). There still are some investors (especially in the Americas) that might think that such commitments are a waste of time and energy, however, Forrester thinks that this is a disappearing breed as investors are increasingly encouraged to measure the ROI of their actions also taking into account CSR KPIs.
In that context, how can retailers thrive?
Opportunities for retailers and brands
Kodali suggests looking at the current e-commerce practices and seeing how these practices could be twisted and mirrored in a way that makes retailers more sustainable than the industry leaders such as Amazon. In fact, in many cases, this is equivalent to coming back to the traditional usages in physical business:
- No additional packaging coming on top of the product, just like when customers go to the store and bring back their purchases,
- Encouraging customers to receive all their purchases together and not in a fragmented manner the same way that they do only one trip to the store and bundle their purchases,
- Restrict returns in the same manner.
Whatever the case, the landscape has evolved and change is now required. But Kodali points out that some retailers might be in a more urgent situation than others, as the proportion of green customers might vary from one brand to another.
For instance, while Chanel or Adidas have more than 70% of green customers overall (i.e. sensitive to sustainability), this proportion falls to 37% for Home Depot, suggesting that, in the latter case, sustainability efforts might make less sense (unless new regulation or investors are coming in the game).
Brands also have to keep in mind that customers are, by default, suspicious that any of the actions might be only greenwashing, as many empty claims were made in the past.
To go further, Kodali cites a few opportunities for retailers to consider:
• Repair Café in the Netherlands, where customers can bring back any product that needs a repair (adding new services and facilities to department stores),
• SOEX in Germany, which recycles raw materials,
• Initiatives going beyond extended producer responsibility laws, with some initiatives even charging the customers for taking back their old products and recycling them (based on the belief that convenience can always be charged).
She also encourages retailers to adopt stricter sustainable standards than the ones imposed by law (this was also a discussion during the last IADS General Assembly): once a law makes something standard, being compliant with it is not a competitive advantage anymore. Also, Forrester expects regulators (especially in the EU), investors and NGOs to be increasingly demanding, so anticipating their requests makes sense.
Finally, retailers should expect a revolution similar to what took place in tech. Kodali points out that Amazon, Apple, Google and Microsoft all radically shifted the nature and source of their income between 2000 and now, and for that reason, looking at new revenue streams in retail (third-party marketplaces and retail media) makes sense as the whole sector might go through a transformation in similar dimensions in the future.
Credits: IADS (Selvane Mohandas du Ménil)
IADS Exclusive: EuroShop 2023 – What to keep in mind from the first post-pandemic edition
IADS Exclusive: EuroShop 2023 – What to keep in mind from the first post-pandemic edition
Highly regarded by many key players in the retail industry, EuroShop is a trade fair founded in 1966 at the initiative of the EHI Retail Institute and takes place every three years since the 1975 edition. The 2023 edition took place from February 26 to March 2, and the IADS attended the session to understand the remarkable trends emerging from this year’s EuroShop fair, as the first post-pandemic edition.
In the same manner that department stores are houses of everything customers need, EuroShop is truly the warehouse of everything retailers need. From hangers or cardboard boxes to advanced customer recognition systems and startup tech, the variety of topics is impressive. This year, 1,830 exhibitors from 55 nations gathered on more than 120,000 sqm, disseminated across 17 pavilions and covered 7 areas of interest: Retail Marketing, Retail Technology, Lighting, Shopfitting & Visual Merchandising, Store Design (including materials and surfaces), Food Service Equipment, and Refrigeration & Energy management.
81,000 trade visitors attended the session, of which 50% were retail professionals (from manager to C-level) and 68% came from abroad (especially from Southeast Asia, Africa and North America). In comparison to 2020, just before the global pandemic outburst at the end of February, 2,300 exhibitors welcomed 94,000 visitors, which suggests that, although the world has reopened, the fair industry has not yet fully recuperated to its pre-pandemic levels (this is probably due to the subsisting difficulties for Chinese nationals to travel in spite of being authorized to do so).
At first sight, the fair is overwhelming, and it is difficult to know what to explore. This is why we asked IADS partner Retail Hub’s CEO Massimo Volpe for his opinion and angle. Together, the key learnings that we took home were the following:
- Autonomous (checkout-free) stores are developing fast. This raises an interesting point for department stores, as they may have to adapt to customers who are increasingly used to buying in checkout-free stores for a certain type of goods. Even though checkout-free systems might not be adapted to the nature of the business in department stores, customers may be expecting new and frictionless experiences while shopping and at checkout in department stores.
- Computer vision is now used for any type of store analysis and most retailers are embracing (or claim to do so) this technology. Given the fact that AI is the next stop for retailers, and as such, it needs to be fed with data, equipping points of sales with tools, enabling computer vision is becoming absolutely critical.
- AI makes the headlines in the newspapers and is poised to give birth to an increasing number of commercial applications, either through off-the-shelves products or via tailor-made solutions. We identified three interesting business cases as a very subjective selection.
- Sustainability was a very important topic of discussion during the fair, with many different technological approaches provided to retailers.
The IADS wandered along all the aisles to identify the most interesting suppliers and exhibitors. The following list is, in essence, subjective and not exhaustive.
What are the potential consequences of the checkout-free frenzy for department stores?
Autonomous store initiatives are a topic that we closely follow, as the technological value proposition is great (improved customer experience, reduced costs), but can also come with downsides (mistakes inherent to the system or lack of interest from customers). The industry is reported to have grown by +11% in 2021 in terms of systems shipped globally.
All visitors paid a visit to the “Just Walk Out” stand from Amazon, a technology launched in 2018 that is now available in 40 Amazon Go and Amazon Fresh stores in the US (and other destinations too). The technology is also made available to other brands, such as Starbucks or WH Smith.
Amazon is reportedly the retailer that is operating the largest number of checkout-free stores globally but is not the only one in the game. Tesco opened its first checkout-free store in London end of 2021, through a partnership with computer vision start-up Trigo Retail which uses a combination of cameras and weight sensors to define what customers have picked up, and then charge them directly through the app when they leave the store (Trigo is also behind the scenes for grocers REWE and Aldi in Germany and the Netherlands respectively).
The interest of this technology is that nobody has to scan products (customers or sales assistants) and, in the most optimal use case in which customers have to “log in” via an app to enter a store, this equates for the retailer to have as many data collection points as on its online interfaces (and often leverage its online technical capabilities and apply them to the store). However, this raises questions when it comes to potential customers’ resistance to such data collection, not to mention customers who are actually coming for advice and interaction with salespersons (which would also explain why, for now, this technology has mainly spread among grocers). Analysts believe that this technology is mostly valid for products involving low engagement, which is often not the case in department stores.
As a consequence, department stores often focus on the cash-desk experience, as most of them have, so far, developed self-check-out capabilities, as a middle way to reduce waiting time at the cash desk and give customers options in terms of the interaction they want to have. It is therefore all about going frictionless, but with some limits.
Shopreme, for instance, offers a scan & go solution, for now mostly available at grocers and hypermarkets, but the solution is also available in white label and can be integrated into any retailer’s shopping app. The point of the solution is its real-time feature: customers can see in real-time the value of their basket, while retailers can see their selection, and nudge their purchases, or offer on-the-spot promotion (or cross-selling purchase selection), through live actions. As a consequence, it is interesting to note that Shopreme’s selling point is not to be ‘simply’ a purchasing app or a smart-cart solution such as Cust2mate, but insists on its relevance as a part of larger retail media solutions.
Regarding the payment aspect, it was interesting to see that some suppliers were pushing the reasoning a bit further in terms of leveraging existing online e-commerce capabilities and the need for modernization in stores, by merging the payment experience online and offline (in other words, processing instore customers’ payments through the same platform of online customers). Adyen’s technology, or the “smart checkout” from Vivawallet, a European neo-bank, were two good examples.
Monitoring your store through the eyes of your computer
Smart checkout (or cashier-less stores) is in most cases powered by computer vision (a technology that enables machines to see and understand images and videos), which explains why this part of the business was also quite visible at Euroshop, given the keen interest for smart checkout. However, computer vision is now central to many more applications:
- Retail heat maps, showing visual representations of customer behaviour and preferences in stores, and footfall analysis tools, to understand customer traffic patterns, peak hours, dwell time, and conversion rates. They can help retailers optimize store layouts, product placements, merchandising, and marketing strategies. Going further, the combination of computer vision with AI allows some suppliers to propose on-shelf availability improvement tools with real-time fulfilment, such as Envelope OU.
- Image recognition, or the ability to recognize objects, brands, logos, faces, emotions, etc. in images and videos. It can help retailers enhance customer experience, loyalty, personalization, security, and analytics. For instance, Blimp proposes a technology that is able to recognize uniforms in order to exclude salespersons from real-time analysis of the store.
- Virtual mirrors coupled with recommendation engines allow customers to try on clothes or accessories in fitting rooms and receive personalized recommendations based on customer preferences, style, or body shape.
Computer vision does not only mean equipping the store with cameras and physical sensors, but combining any device and system interacting with the customer to make sense of the data collected, as proposed by various suppliers such as InPiazza, combining data collected from cameras, Wi-Fi routers, beacons, sensors and databases, to provide real-time analytics, reporting and marketing activities.
Given the importance of this topic and the jungle of suppliers available in this field, we will closely collaborate with our partner Retail Hub in order to identify the most valuable potential partners and their competitive advantages over their peers.
Three interesting examples of AI applied to off-the-shelf solutions
AI is all the rage in the media since OpenAI released ChatGPT, which acted as an eye opener not only for individuals but for businesses also. We have recently attended a conference held by Bain, which announced a strategic alliance with OpenAI, and will release our report on this conference soon. The current state of the market implies that retailers have two possibilities when addressing AI:
- Either as a built-in feature in their core operative model (as suggested by the OpenAI and Bain alliance), with the associated costs and risks, and any CEO who had to reinvent their ERP system would easily draw a parallel in terms of benefits – risks aspects,
- Or as a product feature already integrated in a specific tool addressing a special and well identified need. The key selling point when it comes to these proposals is usually the ease of implementation (edging to plug & play) and return on investment in terms of time saved.
Falling into the second category, we came across three different examples:
- Velou, which acts as an automated co-pilot for e-commerce, reviews each category and product performance in real-time and produces reports, but also identifies missing product metadata, suggests new products additions and generates product descriptions automatically, adapting the tone to the platform (mail, social media, website) and profile.
- Miros, a ‘wordless search tool’ for fashion brands. AI analyses browsing behaviour and past searches and then translates the results of this analysis into product suggestions based on untold words. Given the fact that, for instance, the OpenAI GPT-3 model is based on guessing the next word to write, the Miros solution is a commercial application of this feature and is already used by online retailers such as Debenhams.
- Brame, which is in the very specific niche of gamification and allows retailers to easily (and quickly) design and produce games for customers, in order to generate interactive experiences and, hopefully, increased loyalty and conversion rates.
Interestingly, in all three cases, AI was advertised at the same time as a key feature of the product, but also as a reason for extremely easy implementation within existing systems, Miros even mentioning being as sensible to implement as Google Analytics.
Retailers have an increasing number of practical options when it comes to sustainability
Sustainability is a major topic in retail, and this is the reason why the IADS dedicated its 2022 White Paper to it. At EuroShop, there were many stands presenting new solutions to enhance sustainability at the point of sales level, and what was interesting was the variety of options available. Of course, many exhibitors advertised their energy-saving lighting systems, sustainable material for shopfitting (such as UCGE), or other virtuous initiatives. But what we found interesting was how existing technologies or customer-facing devices were re-invented with sustainability in mind.
For instance, RFID-specialist Checkpoint Systems advertised its solution for reusable packaging, suggesting that it could help trace packaging consumption and waste, inform customers, but also potentially help set up a deposit refund process in order to encourage customers to return their packaging (to be used again).
Reverse vending machine manufacturers Tomra, Envipco or Recyclever advertised the new capabilities of their devices to be able to recognize (thanks to machine learning) the waste returned in bulk in their machines, and separate it by typology, easing waste sorting, in order to create a recycling loop. While department stores are not the usual place where people would bring back their waste to have it sorted and recycled, such machines would nonetheless be advertising their commitment to sustainability while also helping clean waste in their food halls or F&B zones.
There are many other lessons learnt during this visit, and IADS will continue to review them with Retail Hub, in order to keep providing interesting, up-to-date and relevant content on innovation to IADS members. As a closing thought, it was interesting to note that, just like at the NRF event, Retail Media, which is an omnipresent topic in the media (as it is seen as the future for margin-strapped retailers), was under-represented at EuroShop. This suggests that while everyone is aware of its importance and potential, there are not yet any actual off-the-shelf solutions for players, so they are unable to develop this capability in-house by themselves.
See you in 2026 EuroShop!
Credits: IADS (Selvane Mohandas du Ménil)
IADS Exclusive: Why ChatGPT is turning retail leaders’ heads
IADS Exclusive: Why ChatGPT is turning retail leaders’ heads
OpenAI, a research laboratory based in Los Angeles dedicated to Artificial Intelligence technology, is the parent company of groundbreaking AI technologies such as DALL·E 2 which creates original art and images based on a text description, and Whisper which is a speech-to-text AI solution that can very accurately transcribe speech across languages.
ChatGPT is OpenAI’s latest release that has turned heads. ChatGPT is a chatbot technology that has the ability to generate human-like text, which could bring value to businesses that want to add a layer of sophistication to their digital communications. The solution offers human-like responses to a variety of questions, admits when it makes a mistake, and can even help write or correct code.
ChatGPT has been creating a lot of buzz since OpenAI released the free version, and the company has also shared that they will be monetizing the tool by offering it as a cloud-based API (Application Programming Interface) that businesses and developers can integrate into their own applications and services. But what does this mean for retailers and businesses? Will such sophisticated chatbots bring added value to businesses in the short term or will the technology need more time to learn and be applied in a way that serves consumers and businesses without the fear of impacting brand image?
What are we talking about? Testing ChatGPT
The funny thing about ChatGPT is that the Association could ask it to write this exclusive for us, as many analysts and commentators did as a test this year. Unfortunately, the results from various tests and approaches were not quite as detailed as we hoped. We started out by first feeding it text from past IADS exclusives so the AI could capture the tone we typically use. From there we requested that the bot offer an introduction text sharing why department store leaders need to pay attention to ChatGPT and AI solutions. The result was an eloquently written paragraph of fluff listing the key highlights of ChatGPT for retailers: improved customer engagement and targeted product recommendations. Not a very insightful start, but remember we are talking to a machine, so we decided to dig deeper.
We then guided ChatGPT to list 5 specific areas that retailers have used AI in the past. The response was a little more detailed than before: personalization, pricing, demand forecasting, inventory management, and in-store navigation. And we followed up that question with what retail leaders should consider when planning to use AI in their future business. The response once again highlighted the benefits of AI from a customer engagement and product recommendation point of view, but the reply also came with warnings. These warnings included reminders that AI solutions are only a piece of the puzzle and AI models can have biases, stereotypes, and errors if not properly evaluated and monitored. Therefore, it is very important that companies use AI as a tool but not as a replacement for human interactions.
Where ChatGPT failed in our trials was in sharing specific examples and references. When it shared information, we requested sources of where the information comes from so we could read further, but the bot does not have access to search the internet (it finished its training in early 2022, which also provides some limitations taking current events into consideration).
Work smarter, not harder: AI as a personal assistant
AI (Artificial intelligence) is not a new concept to retailers as the whole purpose of automation is to increase efficiency and reduce costs. With such golden promises, smart retail leaders started to implement AI across their businesses with a variety of use cases from running inventory operations more efficiently to accommodating clientele in a more personalized approach. Department stores are especially versed in AI’s capabilities as retailers around the world have hired the power of AI to enhance their store experiences and capabilities in order to better serve their customers.
Pre-ChatGPT, department stores have harnessed AI solutions that offer inventory management, personalization, chatbots, visual search, marketing campaigns, product localization, analytics, virtual stylist services, and logistics. So what is it that ChatGPT can really bring to retailers that they already have not experimented with?
In its current iteration, retailers are hoping that ChatGPT can bring more intelligence to current chatbot functions that have already been put in place. ChatGPT has the ability to react in a more human-like way which can boost customer service capabilities and can free human employees from repetitive admin tasks. Outside of customer service, ChatGPT can help create product descriptions, website copy, employee notice emails, and company HR notifications.
It seems that embedding the AI capabilities of ChatGPT is where the trend is turning. Around the same time that ChatGPT was released, many other companies started to release similar AI functions within their existing tools and products. For example, Notion, is releasing a beta version of Notion AI which will help users with content creation. And Canva has also released Magic Write which offers an AI text generator. Such integrations can be an inspiration as to how department stores and retailers can use AI text generators to enhance product descriptions, marketing materials, and personalization campaigns to ensure all content is optimized.
When it comes to customer service, ChatGPT can be used to personalize the shopping experience for each individual customer by recommending products based on past purchases and browsing history. It can also be used to share important information with customers such as the status of their order, delivery details, and personalized promotions and offers. If used well, AI chatbots can increase conversions and reduce cart abandonment, and the more that the chatbot collects data over time, the more benefits it can bring.
Will chatbots impact retail jobs? The jury is still out
As mentioned, AI tools such as ChatGPT are able to harness large amounts of data and can be taught to mimic human responses and feedback. Such a tool could be very powerful for businesses, giving them the opportunity to optimize their human teams with AI tools. Giving employees tools that can automate their daily jobs and that can increase their productivity should in turn reduce the number of full-time employees, right?
According to the World Economic Forum's "The Future of Jobs Report 2020," there is a potential for 85 million jobs to be displaced by 2025 thanks to AI. But the same report shares that another 97 million jobs could be created as well. This means that while AI might replace some jobs and roles, it is more likely that it will shift the skills of workers that are impacted by such changes. The CEO of OpenAI warned that there is still a lot of progress to be made on the robustness and truthfulness of what ChatGPT can offer, so companies should not base mission-critical projects on it at this time.
All good things come with time: ChatGPT is still in its youth
Based on tests conducted by the IADS team on separate occasions and with differing goals in mind, we can conclude that in its state as of early 2023, ChatGPT still has a lot of ‘learning’ to do in order to offer more specific and relevant information. But what the tool promises is even greater than what it currently lacks, therefore innovative and patient users have been able to learn how to manipulate the tool enough to reap the benefits. Most use cases shared thus far have centred around content creation, SEO implementation, code generation, and personal assistant-type manual work coverage. While ChatGPT can help bring human-like responses to customer service functions, consumers are still expecting real human empathy behind responses and not bot-generated speech. This is going to be a major hurdle for retailers to overcome in the short-term.
Currently, there are still a lot of red flags about ChatGPT that might make retailers weary to adopt the solution as it is now. Unlike other chatbots that will admit when it cannot answer a question, ChatGPT has been trained to give a confident response to almost any request even if the information is false. AI tools are limited to the information that it is fed and can result in outdated information or even biases that could negatively impact the brand image of a business. This is why those that are ready to use AI tools for customer-facing applications need to be sure to have a human audit.
Despite its many flaws and warning signs, AI tools are the future, and those that shy away from implementing them will be left in the dust. Innovative companies must respond to disruptive products in order to stay relevant. In the beginning, there will be tradeoffs such as accuracy, but in return, companies can benefit from lower costs, speed, and simplicity that the tool can bring to their businesses. Also, the good thing about investing in AI early is that the more information that it is fed over time, the more accurate and valuable it becomes. While ChatGPT lacks critical thinking, creativity, and strategic decision-making, it makes up for these flaws by improving efficiency and productivity through its automation features.
What’s next for retailers? Learning from big tech’s response to ChatGPT
ChatGPT is one of those innovative technologies that will inherently change the tech landscape. Companies such as Google and Microsoft have had to completely rethink their AI strategies to ensure that they will not be left in the dust as newer AI native solutions pop-up to steal some of the market share. As big tech players have been the first to act, it will be important for retailers to note what changes are on the horizon.
For example, big tech players are having to consider how AI solutions such as ChatGPT can plug into their current line of products and operations. They will need to make swift decisions and take risks to implement the technology as a basis for new products or as an integration for existing ones and to claim their position in the market. According to LionTree LLC, an investment and merchant bank that focuses on the global digital economy, so far big tech has taken four major approaches when implementing their AI strategy. Microsoft has partnered with OpenAI to integrate key production into their products, Google has invested in R&D to be able to leverage AI solutions, Apple has focused on localization in order to offer AI software for Apple hardware products rather than on the cloud, and Amazon is betting on the infrastructure play as they sell GPU compute power on AWS and have invested in assets within autonomous vehicles and IoT devices.
As large organizations start integrating ChatGPT into their business foundation and establishing their position in the market, retailers need to be doing the same. ChatGPT and AI can be very powerful tools that can help large retail businesses, especially department stores, provide even more unique services to their various clientele from loyal clients to newly converted GenZ customers. AI solutions only get ‘smarter’ as more information is fed to them, therefore the sooner it is implemented, the better the output.
But despite the various promises that ChatGPT and AI can bring, companies that are willing to integrate such revolutionary and innovative technology into their business need to be careful that bots do not completely take over the human experience. While advanced technology can help free human workers from redundant tasks, it is very important to consistently audit them to be sure the built-in bias and unknowns do not negatively impact the overall brand image. To sum it up: proceed, but proceed with caution.
Going further on ChatGPT:
Companies tap Chat GPT to make their chatbots smarter
How retailers can use Chat GPT
Credits: IADS (Mary Jane Shea)
Why anyone interested in avatars should understand the Proteus effect
Why anyone interested in avatars should understand the Proteus effect
What: The Proteus Effect is the set of consequences of the friction existing between a person using an avatar and his or her real life.
Why it is important: Even though the metaverse still seems far away in terms of immediate application for retailers, avatars are already a reality and it is key for retailers to understand the potential consequences of offering to interact with these representations of their customers.
The article discusses the Proteus Effect, which is the phenomenon where an individual's behavior in a virtual world changes in accordance with the visual characteristics and traits of their avatar:
- Avatar modelling can act as a virtual self-fulfilling prophecy according to research, which can raise questions when it comes to non-conformism and potential anti-social behaviour.
- Virtual avatar embodiment informs individuals' behaviors in real life, and can even influence it, for instance for video games players after playing their games.
- Avatars can help break stereotypes and correct unconscious bias.
The author highlights the importance of understanding the relationship between virtual and physical identities as our presence in virtual worlds increases. The Proteus Effect can be harnessed to nudge people towards better behaviour and more research is needed to fully understand its implications. In the meantime, brands intending to create a metaverse experience must understand the Proteus Effect in order to offer something valuable for their audience that will the behaviour, attitude-changes and insights expected by the brand.
Why anyone interested in avatars should understand the Proteus effect
US customers confidence is growing
US customers confidence is growing
What: A surprise confidence boost is taking place in the US for circumstantial reasons
Why it is important: During the last quarter of 2022, US customers confidence helped many markets to stay afloat, such as Europe. Anything positive on this market might have again echoes in the rest of the world.
A surprising increase in consumer expectations boosted the Visa Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index to 104.2 in March.
Despite a 2.6 point increase in the future expectations component last month, it remained weak, with the present situation component slightly decreasing.
The rise in the March expectations index suggests steady spending growth in the coming months, but much of this is due to warmer weather, not a change in overall trends. Higher-income households have retained most pandemic-related savings and may hold onto cash amid uncertainty. Consumers plan to spend less on discretionary items like amusement parks and movies but more on healthcare, home and auto maintenance, and economical entertainment like streaming.
Median inflation expectations remained elevated at 6.3%, with consumers expecting prices to moderate in the coming year, staying below the 7.9% peak in mid-2022.
Are the 21st-century jobs making the most of workers?
Are the 21st-century jobs making the most of workers?
What: The outsourcing of supporting positions (secretaries, assistants) has led workers in spending time on less added-value activities than what they are trained and paid for.
Why it is important: AI will not be a solution to this particular problem even though it will bring partial help and answers.
The rise of self-service software systems has led to the redistribution of tasks previously handled by secretaries and support staff to individual employees, a phenomenon that critics describe as "shadow work."
While the companies behind such systems claim that they save money and "empower" workers, critics argue that they add more tasks to already busy schedules. This creates problems for companies that may experience lost productivity among staff.
However, both Microsoft and Google are developing artificial intelligence tools that could make self-service more manageable for workers, even though AI will not literally replace the work previously done by secretaries and assistants during the past century.
Web3 loyalty programmes, an introduction
Web3 loyalty programmes, an introduction
What: GDR reviews the examples of Starbucks, Nike and YSL and how they use NFTs to consolidate their loyalty programmes.
Why it is important: NFTs went below the radar from their 2022 fame, with Web3 is revolutionizing loyalty programs for brands by leveraging tokenization and blockchain technology to create more engaging and rewarding experiences for customers.
Digital tokens such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are being used to represent ownership of digital assets and access to perks in loyalty programs, with utility NFTs bridging the physical and digital worlds.
Web3 also offers advantages for building loyalty through gamifying interactions, tracking user engagement, and enabling new community interactions through decentralised autonomous organisations (DAOs).
Starbucks, Nike .Swoosh, and YSL Beauty are among the brands leveraging Web3 for their loyalty programs, with Starbucks offering interactive journeys and access to exclusive events, Nike .Swoosh building a virtual community with co-creation opportunities, and YSL Beauty using NFTs to enhance the online shopping experience and support a non-profit organization.
10 key trends shaping livestreaming e-commerce in 2023
10 key trends shaping livestreaming e-commerce in 2023
What: Live-streaming is poised to become a significant part of the e-commerce business by 2026.
Why it is important: Coresight reviews the set of opportunities for US retailers, which might be very well the same for companies outside of the US.
Livestream shopping, which is especially relevant to Gen Z, is estimated to grow in 2023 to $32b globally, and represent 5% of total e-commerce sales by 2026.
The key insights of the reports are the following:
- As retail companies are increasingly rethinking the role of shoppable livestreams in their overall business, strategy, they will use emerging retail tech and a variety of livestreaming formats to meet consumer demand and deliver personalized experiences.
- Brands and retailers with successful livestreaming campaigns understand the importance of consistently scheduling streams and meeting consumer demand for interactive livestreams, discounts and giveaways.
- While various retail verticals have adopted livestreaming, educational content and transparent information remain key strategies to maintain loyal customers for companies across the retail space.
- Marketers are looking to capture customer testimonials and partner with industry experts and knowledgeable influencers to provide consumers with authentic and informative cont
Here are the 10 key trends shaping livestreaming e-commerce in 2023 in detail, within 4 recommendations:
- Recommendation One – Utilize emerging technology:
o Trend #1 – Companies will use multiple platforms to reach more viewers: US consumers use an average of 2.5 platforms to watch livestream shopping events, and retailers will respond by tapping into multiple channels
o Trend #2 – Effectively meet target consumers by analyzing user data: 46% of surveyed companies had collected and analyzed data from livestream shopping events to generate detailed customer insights
o Trend #3 – Livestreaming can support personalization strategies: 26% of surveyed companies said one-to-many livestreaming events were “most appropriate” for their audience, while 3 in 10 livestream viewers preferred the one-to-many format
- Recommendation Two – Promote livestreaming programs:
o Theme #4 – Regular scheduling encourages return viewers: Two-thirds of all surveyed retailers hold livestreaming events more than once a week
o Theme #5 – Incentives will drive sales: 36% of livestream viewers will watch a livestream to participate in a product giveaway or challenge
- Recommendation Three – Transform content to what consumers desire:
o Theme #6 – Livestream shopping will expand to new retail verticals: In the past few months, home improvement and grocery have seen accelerated consumer spending via livestreams
o Theme #7 – Livestreams will include more educational content: Of the five key factors determining the success of a livestream, retailers found that educational content has the biggest influence on customers
o Theme #8 – Consumer demand for transparency will increase: 47% of respondents expect to see more industry experts’ reviews or customer testimonials during livestreams moving forward
- Recommendation Four – Partner with talent to expand online communities:
o Theme #9 – Authentic conversations will drive organic user growth: Customers w/ authentic testimonials are the top-rated type of livestream hosts, per 42% of all respondents; They’re particularly popular w/ Gen X
o Theme #10 – Livestreams will create new online communities: As consumers demand more exclusive livestreaming formats, brands and retailers are likely to work with content creators and community leaders to grow tight-knit groups of mission-driven consumers who follow both the brand.
The 8 Responsibilities of Chief Sustainability Officers
The 8 Responsibilities of Chief Sustainability Officers
What: Harvard Business Review presents a framework to help define the position and responsibilities of the Chief Sustainability Officer.
Why it is important: The report defines and outlines eight critical tasks for CSOs that allows the C-suite to understand where the role fits into the overall organization.
The eight tasks are:
- Ensuring regulatory compliance.
- ESG monitoring and reporting.
- Overseeing the portfolio of sustainability projects.
- Managing stakeholders’ relationships.
- Building organizational capabilities.
- Fostering cultural change.
- Scouting and experimenting.
- Embedding sustainability into processes and decision making.
In order to properly align the role with all eight tasks, the CSO needs to spend time covering each item, rather than just focusing on one such as reporting or compliance. Each piece is just as important as the next.
The tasks listed above can be overwhelming, so it is essential that the CSO learns to prioritize gaps and weaknesses and understands how to tackle and prioritize the efforts. A spider-graph approach can help communicate the evolution of the CSOs tasks with the executive team to ensure everyone is aligned.
Nailing the inventory equation in a shifting retail landscape
Nailing the inventory equation in a shifting retail landscape
What: NuOrder and Retail Dive released a report on the inventory equation in a shifting retail landscape to help retailers better understand what is happening with their inventory issues.
Why it is important: Inventory miscalculations erode revenue and rapport with customers. The report addresses common pitfalls in conventional retail buying practices to help clarify key capabilities for more profitable assortments.
Historically retail buying has occurred in spreadsheets that pass a number of contributors and owners. Today, spreadsheets are outdated and time-consuming and don’t allow for understanding the overall store product mix. Individual products don’t look appealing when grouped together in the store and some product categories get overloaded.
Today, solutions like NuOrder offer digitalized inventory decisions that offer:
- Rich visibility into product selections
- Efficiency gains from automations
- Ability to assort products the way customers will eventually shop
- Connected data
Therefore, digital inventory management allows a better assortment and experience to be delivered to customers. And retailers that can capture both of those things well will lead the market and maintain customer satisfaction for the long term.
Nailing the inventory equation in a shifting retail landscape
ChatGPT is getting to know retail. Will shoppers be happier?
ChatGPT is getting to know retail. Will shoppers be happier?
What: Just like other industries, retail is discovering ChatGPT as a new way to do business.
Why it is important: We are at the dawn of the use cases, and for now, they are somehow simple. However, AI has the potential to bring deep revolutions to the business.
ChatGPT is an artificial chatbot that can answer consumer questions across various topics and store knowledge to apply it to related problems, recalling conversations and context.
Retail companies like Shopify, Instacart, and Carrefour are using ChatGPT to provide product information and make recommendations. ChatGPT has the potential to improve customer experiences by functioning as a personal shopper, AI event planner, robot dietician, and aiding parents of growing children and people with disabilities.
However, despite its capabilities, the journalist argues ChatGPT cannot replace the emotional intelligence and understanding that human interactions provide. Retailers and brands should focus on ensuring the algorithm identifies customer needs and understands the reasons behind their queries, rather than just selling products.
ChatGPT Is Getting To Know Retail. Will Shoppers Be Happier?
How Temu and Shein are planning expansion beyond the US
How Temu and Shein are planning expansion beyond the US
What: Shein’s meteoritic ascension was the tree hiding the forest: more are coming now.
Why it is important: A new breed of disruptors are coming for department stores’ businesses and customers, and this time, with digital embedded at the core of their model. It is high time that department stores review their value proposition and unique selling proposal in order to limit the potential damage.
Chinese e-commerce companies Shein and Temu are expanding their operations to international markets such as Australia, New Zealand, and Latin America.
Shein is currently hiring for various positions in Mexico, Brazil, Belgium, Ireland, and Turkey. It has been valued at $100 billion and surpassed Amazon in terms of shopping app downloads from US stores. However, Shein is facing scrutiny for its sustainability practices in the US.
Meanwhile, Temu, owned by Pinduoduo parent company PDD Holdings and headquartered in Boston, is expected to launch in Australia and New Zealand this week, with a commission-free offer for sellers joining the launch.
Shein and Temu both offer low-priced goods through an app, and they are spending heavily on marketing to build brand awareness in multiple markets. Temu enables Chinese vendors to sell directly to shoppers without local infrastructure, while Shein is synonymous with cheap fast fashion. Both companies aim to support the Chinese economy and manufacturers by selling low-cost goods to global consumers. Experts suggest that Temu’s business model may shift more towards replicating its social commerce-oriented community group buying success in China, while Shein plans to expand into a marketplace-type business. As both companies grow and become more popular, they may face more scrutiny related to security, data privacy, and national security issues.
The sustainability imperative in Emerging Markets
The sustainability imperative in Emerging Markets
What: Environmental sustainability has been for long left on the side of the road in developing countries, to the profit of growth
Why it is important: Even if sustainable demand is weak in their market of origin, it might be extremely fruitful for companies from developing countries to embrace the same sustainable approach than in more developed ones.
Companies in emerging markets, from China to the UAE to Brazil, are under mounting pressure from investors, employees, customers, and other stakeholders to become green. Mere pledges are not enough anymore, and most significantly underperform companies in developed markets on influential ESG rankings by various agencies, especially when it comes to environmental sustainability. Reasons for this are multiple: companies from developed markets have started decade earlier to respond to intensified pressure, while on developing market the focus has been on growth rather than environmental impact.
BCG research has found, however, that certain large, high-growth emerging market companies perform well in both financial and environmental KPIs. They also enjoy the following strategic advantages:
-Stronger access to key global markets as the EU and other major trade partners impose tougher regulations on the greenhouse gas footprints of the goods they import. Siam Cement, from Thailand, has secured this way a privileged access to EU market, for instance.
-Greater access to investment and lower capital costs as asset managers and lenders seek to meet their own sustainability commitments and earn the better returns often generated by companies with high ESG ratings. Geely Automobile Holdings raised $400m when it issued a three-year overseas green bond, becoming the first Chinese automaker to do so.
-More opportunities to launch disruptive new business models and change the dynamics in their industries by being in the forefront of the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy, leading to more innovative proposals for customers and improved attractivity to talents on the way.
Forget the death of downtown, City Centres are back in force
Forget the death of downtown, City Centres are back in force
What: In the US, some city centres are witnessing rejuvenation thanks to the very reasons that led them to experience exodus pre- and during the pandemic.
Why it is important: Although the US is a specific market when it comes to cities, the same phenomenon of green exodus was predicted in Europe with cities supposedly emptying out to the benefit of smaller towns. This has not translated into the numbers, which is great news for department stores often located at the centre of cities.
Due to the remote-work shift brought about by the pandemic, America's great cities could seem in a precarious spot. Fewer people commuting into the office means less revenue for downtown areas, which affects the funding of important programs like schools and public transit. This shift to remote work is also costing cities a lot of money, with a recent analysis finding that the shift cost Manhattan over $12 billion a year. The hollowing out of downtown areas has led to concerns about an "office apocalypse" and the "death of downtown."
However, cities can use the short-term challenges of remote work to reinvent themselves and attract footloose residents. Before 2020, home prices in superstar cities like New York and San Francisco soared as they built very little housing. As a result, these cities ended up catering to elite residents and failing the middle class, depriving them of the quality of services and housing their families needed to thrive. With more people shifting to remote work and moving farther from the expensive urban core, the bill for decades of underinvestment and poor management in America's large cities has come due.
Workers are voting with their feet, and early projections suggest these cities will face major budget problems. The exodus of workers is leading to a dire outlook for a cornerstone of downtowns: their office towers. The total square footage leased across 14 major US real-estate markets fell by 60% between 2019 and early 2022. The empty office towers are setting off alarm bells for leaders in major metro areas, but the remote-work revolution could pave the way for a new urban boom.
But is it not all doom and gloom: young people still want to live and work in vibrant city centers, and cities can offer them greater opportunities to learn, network, and enjoy cultural events. Cities will have to shift some of their priorities, experiment with new ways to reduce crime and provide better education and other services, and make housing more affordable. Cities can also experiment with smaller quality-of-life improvements and make streets safer to attract and retain residents. The move to remote work can help these places become stronger by catering to people who truly want to live there. Superstar cities have several advantages that rusted-out manufacturing centers did not have, including cultural attractions, highly educated populations, and diverse industries.
With adaptation and innovation, America's major cities can usher in a new urban boom.
Forget the death of downtown, City Centres are back in force